Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Houston Astros will head west to take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. This interleague matchup will get underway at 3:45 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be televising the game.

Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers have offered equal -105 moneyline odds on both of these teams. The total is sitting at 7 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +140 for the Astros -1.5 runs and -160 for the Giants +1.5.

The Giants are 57-56 straight up (SU) and 63-50 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 7.8 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Astros are 71-42 SU and have gone 58-55 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 3.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 53-56-4 in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 50-57-6.

Dallas Keuchel is getting the nod for Houston. The southpaw Keuchel (9-9, 3.61 ERA) has racked up 105 punchouts in 142 innings so far. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants will turn to lefty Madison Bumgarner (4-4, 2.97 ERA), who has 56 punchouts and 27 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Bumgarner did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.46 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.07, along with a K/9 of 10.89.

Astros hitters have slashed .257/.334/.431 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman continue to lead Houston’s offense. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases. Bregman is hitting .277 with 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 74 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.2. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.335/.416 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ batters have been led by outfielder Andrew McCutchen and shortstop Brandon Crawford. McCutchen is slashing .265/.358/.424 with 12 home runs, 46 RBIs, 55 runs and nine stolen bases, and Crawford’s line is .276/.343/.425 with 10 homers, 44 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Astros have lost 9.8 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 1.1 units and are 24-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve cashed the under.

Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Houston has logged 24 extra-base hits over its last five outings. San Francisco has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • Houston has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.