Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

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The Houston Astros will head north to Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers. ATTSN Southwest will be showing this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Vegas has listed Detroit (+260) as the underdog to Houston (-320). The total sits at eight runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Astros -1.5 runs (-180) and Tigers +1.5 runs (+160).

The Tigers are 74-68 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 59-84 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 89-54 SU this year and are 74-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 0.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 60-75-7 in 2018. The Astros have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 62-73-7.

The right-handed Justin Verlander will get the start for the visiting Astros. Verlander (14-9, 2.73 ERA) has recorded 248 strikeouts in 188 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers will put the ball in the left hand of Francisco Liriano (4-9, 4.90 ERA, 1.54 WHIP), who’s got 87 strikeouts and 63 walks. Liriano is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.48, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .267/.354/.430 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ hitters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .295/.352/.489 with 20 home runs, 78 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Iglesias has put up a line of .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.

In the other dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.30 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 2.92, along with a WHIP of 1.12.

Astros hitters have slashed .257/.333/.433 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Bregman is hitting .299/.401/.563 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 98 runs scored, while Altuve is hitting .317/.383/.454 with 11 homers, 53 RBIs, 73 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 7.7 units and are 27-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 10.3 units and are 52-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 59 that’ve cashed the under.

Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Houston defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for Detroit over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.