Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will try to avoid dropping their fourth straight game as they play host to the Houston Astros at Comerica Park. This AL matchup will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to ATTSN Southwest.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Houston (-250) is favored over Detroit (+225) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s runline odds stand at -160 for taking the Astros -1.5 runs and +140 for the Tigers +1.5.

The Astros have gone 91-54 SU this year and are 75-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 59-86 SU and 75-69 ATS. The team’s lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Tigers games have a 60-77-7 over/under record in 2018. The Astros have also been a good under bet with a total record of 63-74-7.

The right-handed Gerrit Cole is projected to start for the visiting Astros. Cole is 13-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 251 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are preparing to start lefty Daniel Norris (0-3, 5.47 ERA), who’s got 32 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.30. Norris has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.42 ERA and five strikeouts across six and 1-third innings).

As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.

Detroit’s hitters have put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .210/.303/.306 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led the Tigers’ hitters this year. Castellanos is slashing .294/.351/.488 with 20 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Iglesias is batting .269 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.21 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an excellent ERA of just 2.88, along with a K-per-9 of 10.81.

The Astros offense has slashed .256/.332/.431 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who’ve collectively blasted 42 home runs. Bregman is slashing .295/.398/.555 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 99 runs scored. Altuve (.318/.382/.458) is up to 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 74 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 6.7 units and are 27-28 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 12.3 units and are 53-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 61 that’ve gone under.

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Houston defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Detroit over its last 10.
  • The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games SU.