Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

A series sweep is on the line as the Cleveland Indians are set to host the Houston Astros in Game 3 of the ALDS. The visiting Astros (up 2-0) are only one win away from reaching the ALCS, and this matchup is scheduled to begin at 1:30 p.m. ET. It will be televised on TBS.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas is listing Houston (+110) as the underdog to Cleveland (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over eight runs and -120 for under eight. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Astros +1.5 runs and +165 for the Indians -1.5.

The Astros are 105-59 SU and have gone 85-79 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, losing 0.7 units for moneyline bettors and 2.5 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 91-73 SU and 76-88 ATS. They’ve lost 26.5 units for moneyline bettors and 25.6 units ATS.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 78-76-10 in 2018. Houston has been a good under bet with a total record of 71-85-8.

Dallas Keuchel will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The left-handed Keuchel is 12-11 with a 3.74 ERA and 153 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).

The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Clevinger (13-8, 3.02 ERA), who has 207 strikeouts and 67 walks as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Clevinger is 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 6.17 ERA over two starts against Houston this year.

Fueled by a team slash line of .333/.408/.619, the Astros have scored 5.0 runs per game through two playoff outings. Cleveland is hitting .100/.156/.150 through two games and the team has managed 1.5 runs in the 2018 playoffs.

The Indians bullpen has registered an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 2.00 this postseason, while Astros relievers have performed noticeably better with a 0.00 ERA and 0.53 WHIP.

Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve continue to lead Houston’s hitters. Bregman is hitting .288/.397/.542 with 33 home runs, 106 RBIs and 108 runs scored, while Altuve is hitting .315/.384/.454 with 14 homers, 62 RBIs, 86 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .277/.351/.520 with 39 home runs, 93 RBIs, 131 runs and 25 steals, and Brantley’s line is .307/.363/.464 with 17 homers, 76 RBIs and 89 runs.

The Astros are coming off of a 3-1 win in Game .

Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in six of Houston’s last seven games.
  • The Astros have won five of their last six games SU while the Indians have dropped three of their last four.
  • Houston has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
  • The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.