Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The San Antonio Spurs (0-2) will be 3-point underdogs at home in game three of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs when they meet the Golden State Warriors (2-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 206 points and it will air on TNT at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 19, 2018.

Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds

In game two, Durant led the Warriors to a 116-101 victory. He produced 32 points, six rebounds and six assists. The two teams combined to score 217 points, which was over the projected point total of 205.5, and Golden State covered as an 8.5-point favorite. Golden State made 15 of their 31 three pointers (48.4 percent). San Antonio was, meanwhile, just 4-28 (14.3 percent).

Golden State could have a difficult time creating turnovers. San Antonio ranks seventh in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while Golden State forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (13.1 percent). Also, the Warriors’ second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.9) will face off against the Spurs’ fourth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 103.4).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Warriors games, with 42 overs compared to 41 unders. Golden State is 60-24 straight up (SU), but they are just 35-46-3 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Golden State, just over half of Spurs games have finished under the total. Further, San Antonio is 47-37 SU and 41-39-4 ATS.

Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Spurs rank 20th in points in the paint per game (43.5) while the Warriors rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (47.0).
  • Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.2) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (10.2).
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.4) while the Spurs rank 19th (22.7).
  • San Antonio ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Golden State ranks last (8.8).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.4) while San Antonio ranks fourth (5.5).
  • The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (18.6).
  • The Warriors rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (24.1).
  • San Antonio ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.1) while Golden State ranks last (10.3).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 16-5 and San Antonio is 32-10.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Spurs are 36-15 and the Warriors are 57-15.
  • Golden State is 18-22-1 ATS on the road, while San Antonio is 26-14-1 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Spurs’ 41 home games, while 21 of the Warriors’ 41 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and San Antonio have both had 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Spurs are 1-4.
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 6.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (8.0 above their season average).