Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction 02/29/20

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Golden State Warriors (12-47) head to Talking Stick Resort Arena to go head-to-head with the Phoenix Suns (24-36). The Warriors will try to put an end to their eight-game losing streak. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Arizona.

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds

Both teams lost in their last game. The Warriors (11-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 116-86, while the Suns (7.5-point underdogs) fell to the Detroit Pistons, 113-111. The Golden State game finished 17 points under the projected point total of 219, while the Phoenix game went 9 points under the projected point total of 233.

Golden State had a better effective field goal percentage (0.481 vs. 0.563) while Phoenix did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (12-17; 70.6 percent). Phoenix rallied around Ricky Rubio, who contributed 16 points, 13 assists and six rebounds. Eric Paschall, meanwhile had a solid performance for Golden State, putting up 23 points.

The Suns lead the season series two games to one. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 218 points, which was under the projected point total of 227. Phoenix won 112-106 but was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. Phoenix had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (19.0 vs. 11.1). Golden State, on the other hand, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (17-19; 89.5 percent). Andrew Wiggins had a standout performance with 27 points and five assists.

Of the Warriors’ 59 games, 33 have finished under the O/U total. Golden State holds records of 12-47 straight up (SU) and 26-32-1 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Golden State, games featuring the Suns have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (50.8 percent). Additionally, Phoenix owns records of 24-36 SU and 27-31-1 ATS.

The Warriors’ Damion Lee has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 17 points,1.4 steals per game. Meanwhile, Rubio has averaged 16 points,10.0 assists,5.4 rebounds,3.6 steals during that same time frame for the Suns.

This has potential to be a sloppy game for the offense of Phoenix. Phoenix ranks 20th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the disruptive defense of Golden State forces the seventh-most turnovers in the league (14.4 percent).

Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.1) while the Suns rank 26th (5.6).
  • Phoenix averages 27.1 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Golden State ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (26.2).
  • The Suns rank sixth in three pointers allowed per game (32.1) while the Warriors rank 25th (35.0).
  • Phoenix ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Golden State ranks 27th (46.9).
  • Phoenix averages 14.3 fast break points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Golden State ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
  • The Suns rank fourth in points off turnovers per game (18.8) while the Warriors rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.0).
  • The Suns rank 15th in points in the paint per game (48.2) while the Warriors rank last (43.3).
  • Phoenix is 25th in the NBA with 12.1 second chance points per game while Golden State is 27th with 11.9 second chance points per game.
  • Golden State averages 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Phoenix ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Phoenix is 7-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 5-2.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Warriors are 12-30 and the Suns are 23-29.
  • Golden State is 15-14 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 11-18-1 ATS at home.
  • Of the Warriors’ 29 road games, they have 15 unders and 14 overs.
  • Of the Suns’ 30 home games, they have 16 overs and 14 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Golden State and Phoenix have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Suns are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
  • During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.6 points per game (3.7 below their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 19.6, up from 9.4 for the season.