The George Washington Colonials (8-6, 1-0 A10) and the Duquesne Dukes (10-4, 1-0 A10), who both like to play patient, will face off at A.J. Palumbo Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 131.5 points with neither team favored. Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
George Washington Colonials vs. Duquesne Dukes ATS Preview
The Colonials defeated the Saint Joseph’s Hawks in their last contest, 70-64. With 10 points and 12 rebounds, Arnaldo Toro had a good performance for George Washington. The Colonials had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 34.3 (above their season average of 32.7) and held the Hawks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.404 (below their season average of 0.476).
In the Dukes last matchup, they beat the Dayton Flyers, 70-62. Duquesne’s Eric Williams Jr. played a key role with 15 points and seven rebounds. The Dukes knocked down 18 of their 21 free throws (85.7 percent) and held the Flyers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.421 (below their season average of 0.540).
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams face off. Duquesne ranks 331st in possessions per game (66.2) and George Washington is 340th (64.9).
Both of these teams have a tendency to finish under the O/U total. George Washington games have gone under 60.0 percent of the time, while 83.3 percent of games involving Duquesne have gone under. The Dukes have the superior straight up (SU) record (10-4 vs. 8-6), but the Colonials hold the sizable advantage against the spread (ATS) (5-5 vs. 3-3).
This is the first time these teams will clash this year, after the Colonials won both matchups last season. In the last contest, George Washington won 77-70. The Colonials played a perfect game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.311 and a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 42.1. For those same stats, the Dukes were 0.267 and 36.4, respectively.
George Washington Colonials vs. Duquesne Dukes Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – George Washington, ATS Winner – George Washington, O/U – Under
The Dukes are 33rd in the NCAA with 2.6 blocks allowed per game while the Colonials are 41st with 2.7 blocks allowed per game.
Duquesne ranks 81st in rebounds per game (37.9) while George Washington ranks 83rd in rebounds allowed per game (33.6).
George Washington is 2-3 ATS on the road, while Duquesne is 2-1 ATS at home.
The Colonials have 3 unders and 2 overs in 5 road games.
The Dukes have 2 unders and 1 over in 3 home games.
Duquesne ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while George Washington ranks 94th (6.3).
The Colonials rank 30th in assists allowed per game (11.1) while the Dukes rank 71st (12.1).
Duquesne ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (16.9) while George Washington ranks 22nd (18.0).
Duquesne is 2-1 ATS with 3 unders in their last five games.
Over their last five games, George Washington is 2-2 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over.
The Dukes average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.4, down from 9.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Colonials have scored an average of 60.0 points per game (5.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.8 points per game (5.2 below their season average).