The Fairfield Stags (12-15, 7-9 MAAC) will travel to Times Union Center to take on the Siena Saints (8-21, 4-12 MAAC) in their home finale. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 144.5 points with Fairfield set as a 2-point favorite. Action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 21, 2018.
Fairfield Stags vs. Siena Saints ATS Preview
The Stags defeated the Quinnipiac Bobcats in their last outing, 102-98. With 22 points and 15 rebounds, Fairfield’s Jonathan Kasibabu played well. The Stags forced 22 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.4 (above their season average of 24.3).
The last time the Saints played, they were defeated by the Monmouth Hawks, 93-89. Khalil Richard led Siena in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-13 shooting. Monmouth had a turnover percentage of 12.9 (better than their season average of 19.2). Siena, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.548 (above their season average of 0.484).
This contest should be a battle of conflicting tempos. Fairfield prefers a fast-paced style of play (32nd in possessions per game), while Siena likes to grind-it-out (201st in possessions per game).
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games involving Fairfield have finished over 65.2 percent of the time, while 57.1 percent of Siena games have gone under. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Stags have a sizable advantage. They are 12-15 SU and 9-14 ATS, while the Saints are 8-21 SU and 7-13-1 ATS.
These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined for 143 points in that game, which was over the projected point total of 135.5. The Stags won 78-65, covering as 10-point favorites. The Stags played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculously low turnover percentage of 8.3 and a superb free throw rate of 0.298. The Saints were 19.1 and 0.192, respectively, for those same stats. Tyler Nelson was the game’s top overall scorer with 27 points.
Fairfield Stags at Siena Saints Free Prediction
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Siena, ATS Winner – Siena, O/U – Over
The Stags average 6.3 steals per game, which ranks 115th in the NCAA. The Saints rank 179th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
On the road, Fairfield is 3-10 ATS with 7 overs and 6 unders.
Siena is 4-5-1 ATS at home with 6 unders and 4 overs.
Fairfield ranks 21st in three pointers attempted per game (27.1) while Siena ranks 243rd (19.1).
The Stags rank 71st in assists per game (15.2) while the Saints rank 248th (11.4).
Siena ranks 107th in rebounds per game (36.1) while Fairfield ranks 261st in rebounds allowed per game (38.0).
Siena is 1-3-1 ATS with 5 overs in their last five games.
Over their last five games, Fairfield is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Saints’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 7.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Stags have scored an average of 81.8 points per game (5.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 83.6 points per game (4.6 above their season average).