The Bowling Green Falcons (7-2) will be at home in Stroh Center when they take on the Evansville Aces (6-2). Bowling Green is a 3.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 139.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 5, 2017, and it can be seen on ESPN 3.
Evansville Aces at Bowling Green Falcons ATS Preview
In the Aces last outing, they had no trouble getting past the Oakland City Mighty Oaks, 98-56. Blake Simmons was the games high scorer with 17 points on 6-for-10 shooting. Evansville dominated every stat category in the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 27.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.763 (above their season average of 0.499). Oakland City was 17.9 and 0.427, respectively, for those same stats.
The Falcons come in on a high note after topping the Norfolk State Spartans in their last matchup, 92-77. Bowling Green was lifted by Dylan Frye, who was the games high scorer with 28 points on 9-for-13 shooting. Bowling Green played a nearly flawless game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.305 (above their season average of 0.296) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.9 (above their season average of 30.4). For those same stats, Norfolk State was 0.138 and 22.9, respectively.
It will be a battle of opposite paces as the fast-breaking Falcons will look to push the slower-paced Aces. Dating back to the 2016-17 season, the Falcons rank 45th in possessions per game while the Aces are 317th.
In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Games featuring Evansville have gone under 100.0 percent of the time, while 66.7 percent of Bowling Green games have finished over. Both teams have outstanding straight up (SU) records (6-2 for Evansville; 7-2 for Bowling Green), but the Aces have the edge against the spread (ATS). Evansville is 4-1 ATS, while the Falcons are 1-2.
The Aces won the only contest against the Falcons last season, 69-66. The Aces turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Falcons. Evansville had a rate of 13.0, while Bowling Green posted a mark of 19.3.
Evansville Aces at Bowling Green Falcons ATS Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Bowling Green, ATS Winner – Evansville, O/U – Over
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
- The Aces rank 170th in blocks per game (3.1) while the Falcons rank 225th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
- Evansville ranks 152nd in assists per game (13.6) while Bowling Green ranks 195th in assists allowed per game (13.7).
- Evansville ranks 60th in rebounds allowed per game (33.1) while Bowling Green ranks 269th (37.7).
- The Falcons rank 88th in steals per game (6.9) while the Aces rank 246th (5.2).
- Bowling Green ranks 189th in three pointers attempted per game (20.7) while Evansville ranks 332nd (11.4).