Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will head west to play the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This AL showdown gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both RTNW and FSDT.

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Detroit (+155) is entering this game as the underdog to Seattle (-165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Runline odds stand at -140 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +120 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Tigers have gone 19-23 SU this year and are 24-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 3.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 24-18 SU and 24-17 ATS. They’ve gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units ATS. Seattle has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Mariners games have a 25-16 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 19-21-1.

Matthew Boyd will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Boyd is 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will send lefty Marco Gonzales (3-3, 5.31 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 41 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.52 WHIP. Gonzales is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Detroit this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.79 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .280/.351/.434 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano have led the way for the Mariners hitters so far. Haniger is hitting .294/.380/.569 with 10 home runs, 32 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Cano’s line is .287/.385/.441 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs.

Haniger did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefties at home last season, slashing .231/.286/.442 across 56 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .282/.352/.491).

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.32 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.09 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.37, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Tigers offense has slashed .261/.321/.420 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been powered by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .316/.373/.500 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Candelario (.272/.359/.497) is up to five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .329/.368/.720 across 87 such plate appearances, Castellanos seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitching on the road last season (compared to his total season slash line of .272/.320/.490).

The Tigers have gained 2.4 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 1.1 units and are 9-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in seven of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Detroit has recorded 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 11 over their last 10.