Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets Free Preview

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Miguel Cabrera and the slumping Detroit Tigers are paying a visit to Flushing to face the Mets at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise this interleague matchup.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets Odds

The Tigers have gone only 18-29 SU this year and are 19-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 11.0 units ATS. Detroit hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 24-25 SU and 24-24 ATS. They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline bettors and 3.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have a 25-20-3 over/under record thus far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 24 times, gone over 21 times and pushed on one occasion.

Southpaw Gregory Soto will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Soto (0-2, 10.80 ERA) has recorded seven strikeouts in 10 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (3-4, 4.50 ERA, 1.19 WHIP), who has 63 strikeouts and 14 walks this season. Syndergaard did not register a start against the Tigers in 2018.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.29 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.58, along with a K-per-9 of 7.89.

The Tigers offense has slashed .221/.290/.362 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Miguel Cabrera and Nicholas Castellanos have led Detroit’s offense. Cabrera is slashing .298/.370/.363 with 51 hits, 19 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Castellanos is hitting .264 with 48 hits, four homers, 13 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

New York’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .212/.308/.384 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the charge for the Mets’ hitters so far. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .256/.298/.389 with four homers, 26 RBIs and 15 runs.

The Tigers have lost 4.0 units and are 15-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.3 units and are 7-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to five that’ve cashed the under.

Tigers vs. Mets Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Tigers have dropped 10 of their last 11 games SU.
  • New York has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 12 over their last 10.
  • The Tigers have an OPS of .651 this season and an OPS of .635 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .723 overall and .712 versus righties.