Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will play host to their division rival Detroit Tigers at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (-160) is favored against Detroit (+150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-145) and Twins -1.5 runs (+125).

The Twins are 81-74 against the spread (ATS), but just 72-83 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.0 units (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers have gone 63-93 SU this year and are 80-76 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 7.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 76-76-3 in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 67-81-8.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.57, a WHIP of 1.39 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 69 games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.29.

Minnesota’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .260/.311/.390 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ offense has been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, and Mauer is hitting .276 with six homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs.

For the visiting squad, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Tigers offense has slashed .242/.303/.383 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is hitting .302/.357/.504 with 22 home runs, 86 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Candelario (.226/.316/.402) has produced 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 4.2 units and are 60-52 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 57 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven contests.
  • The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Detroit fielders have committed six errors over their last five games, compared to two errors for Minnesota over its last five.