Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The streaking Minnesota Twins are gunning for their fifth consecutive victory as they play host to the Detroit Tigers at Target Field. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will be televising the game.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Detroit (+155) is entering this one as the underdog against Minnesota (-165) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Tigers +1.5 runs (-140) and Twins -1.5 runs (+120).

The Tigers have gone 50-73 SU this year and are 62-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 58-63 SU and 66-54 ATS. The team’s lost 6.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 9.9 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Twins games have a 57-60-3 over/under record in 2018. The Tigers have been a great under bet with a total record of 48-68-6.

Ryan Carpenter will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Carpenter is 0-1 with a 6.39 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Twins are turning to righty Kohl Stewart (0-1, 6.23 ERA), who has one strikeouts and one walks as well as a 2.08 WHIP. Stewart is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 51 games against divisional foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.16.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .264/.306/.485 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .295/.335/.496 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Escobar is batting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs.

For the visiting squad, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.47 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 8.01.

The Tigers offense has slashed .241/.301/.377 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .292/.344/.496 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Iglesias (.264/.306/.389) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 39 runs and 14 steals.

The Tigers have lost 12.1 units and are 42-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against ies.

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Detroit has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.4 over its last five.