Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The game gets underway 4:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports West will televise this AL matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Detroit (+140) is the underdog to Los Angeles (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-155) and Angels -1.5 runs (+135).

The Tigers are 47-66 SU and have gone 58-55 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 2.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 56-58 SU and 50-64 ATS. The team’s lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 21.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Los Angeles games have a 49-56-9 over/under record in 2018. The Tigers have also been a great under bet with a total record of 44-64-5.

Left-hander Blaine Hardy is the projected starter for the visiting Tigers. Hardy (4-3, 3.25 ERA) has recorded 51 punchouts in 69.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Angels this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Angels are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jaime Barria (6-7, 3.84 ERA), who’s got 59 strikeouts and 24 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Barria did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Los Angeles hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .213/.275/.354 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Andrelton Simmons and right fielder Mike Trout have led the Angels’ hitters this year. Simmons is slashing .306/.360/.431 with seven home runs, 52 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Trout’s line is .309/.459/.624 with 30 homers, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 21 steals.

For the visiting squad, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a K/9 of 7.81.

Tigers hitters have slashed .239/.298/.375 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 2.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .284/.336/.484 with 16 home runs, 59 RBIs and 58 runs scored. Iglesias (.267/.306/.391) has produced four homers, 45 RBIs, 35 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 10.8 units and are 38-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have lost 14.6 units and are 9-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 11 over their last 10.