Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick

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The Detroit Tigers will be taking the field against their division rival Kansas City Royals in a Wednesday night game. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast the matchup.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (-135) is hosting this one as the favorite against Detroit (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Royals -1.5.

The Royals are only 21-45 straight up (SU) and 30-35 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 18.5 units for moneyline bettors and 13.9 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 24-39 SU and have gone 27-35 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.6 units ATS. Detroit’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 31-29-5 so far in 2019. The Tigers have an over/under record of 28-31-3.

Left-hander Daniel Norris will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Norris is 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Danny Duffy (3-3, 4.68 ERA), who has 35 strikeouts and 16 walks, along with a 1.42 WHIP. Duffy has yet to face the Tigers this year, but he made three starts against them in 2018, putting together a 1-2 record with a 7.71 ERA.

As a unit, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 5.40 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 24 games against divisional foes, Royals starters have an ERA of 3.92 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.01.

The Kansas City hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .249/.291/.396 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi have led the way for the Royals’ hitters this year. Merrifield is hitting .293/.342/.476 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs, 43 runs and nine stolen bases, and Mondesi’s line is .280/.313/.470 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 38 runs and 25 steals.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.29, along with a K/9 of 7.78.

Tigers hitters have slashed .233/.296/.382 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .262/.312/.452 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 37 runs scored. Cabrera is hitting .290/.358/.378 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

The Tigers have gained 1.9 units and are 7-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 4.1 units and are 8-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to nine that went under.

Tigers at Royals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in just two of Kansas City’s last seven games.
  • The Tigers have a total OPS of .678 this season, including an OPS of .720 against left-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS stands at .717 overall and .659 against lefties.
  • The Tigers have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • Detroit has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit eight over their last 10.