Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will be squaring off against their division rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be showing the action.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (+135) as the underdog to Detroit (-155). The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can take the over for +105 and the under for -125. Gamblers can also bet on the games runline with the current odds standing at +140 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -150 for the White Sox -1.5.

The Tigers are 3-4 SU and have gone 2-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 2.2 units ATS. The White Sox are 3-4 SU and 2-4 ATS. The team has gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.8 units ATS.

White Sox games have a 3-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Detroit has an over/under record of 3-3.

The Tigers have lost 2.0 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have netted 1.6 units and are 1-2 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to two that went under the total.

Mike Fiers will get the nod for Detroit. The right-handed Fiers recorded 146 strikeouts in 153 innings last year (with 62 walks) but finished the season 8-10 overall with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP.

The White Sox will be turning to righty Reynaldo Lopez (0-0, 1.50 ERA), who started 8 games last year and finished the season 3-3 overall with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.

Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 6.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.59 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.71 ERA, 1.76 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In four divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 5.96 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.65.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .251/.340/.450 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Matt Davidson and Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense this year. Davidson is hitting .280/.419/.800 with seven hits, eight RBIs and nine runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .333/.429/.667 with eight hits, seven RBIs and three runs.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 5.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.40, along with a K/9 of 7.85.

Tigers hitters have slashed .246/.336/.365 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and first baseman Miguel Cabrera. Castellanos is slashing .367/.441/.567 with 11 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored, while Cabrera (.308/.400/.538) is up to eight hits, eight RBIs and four runs scored.

Castellanos seemed to take a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .212/.264/.360 across 239 such plate appearances (his total season line was .272/.320/.490).

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The White Sox went 10-9 SU against the Tigers in 2017.
  • The White Sox have lost four of their last five games SU,
  • The White So bullpen recorded an ERA of 5.16 against the Tigers last year.