Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are set to face off against their divisional nemesis Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago is in line to showcase the matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Chicago (-150) as the favorite over Detroit (+140). The total sits at 8 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-155) and White Sox -1.5 runs (+135).

The White Sox are 72-66 against the spread (ATS), but just 56-83 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 7.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.1 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Tigers are 56-83 SU and have gone 70-68 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 9.2 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 65-67-6 in 2018. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 58-73-7.

The right-handed Jordan Zimmermann will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Zimmermann is 6-6 with a 4.22 ERA and 94 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and an 8.85 ERA against Chicago this year (four starts).

The White Sox are preparing to start Michael Kopech (1-0, 0.82 ERA), who’s got nine strikeouts and one walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Kopech is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.54 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.32 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a K-per-9 of 8.07.

The Tigers offense has slashed .243/.302/.383 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production has been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .289/.343/.484 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.

In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.93 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 62 games against AL Central opponents, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.

Chicago’s hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .278/.341/.462 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is slashing .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .250/.317/.379 with seven homers, 47 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 4.0 units and are 54-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven contests.
  • Chicago has recorded 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.2 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit 10 over their last 10.