Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are paying a visit to Chicago to play their divisional rival White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup will get going at 2:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the game.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (-115) is the favorite over Detroit (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at nine runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -200 for picking the Tigers +1.5 runs and +170 for the White Sox -1.5.

The Tigers are 55-82 SU and are 69-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 55-82 SU and 70-66 ATS. The team’s lost 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 65-65-6 in 2018. Tigers games have gone under 72 times, gone over 57 times and pushed on seven occasions.

Right-hander Michael Fulmer will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. Fulmer is 3-10 with a 4.71 ERA and 100 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The White Sox will be sending righty Reynaldo Lopez (5-9, 4.51 ERA) to the hill. Lopez has 116 strikeouts and 66 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.36 WHIP. Lopez is 0-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 3.23 ERA across five starts against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.57 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.55, along with a K-per-9 of 8.06.

Tigers hitters have slashed .243/.302/.382 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .294/.348/.492 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored. Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) is up to five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.92 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 60 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.33.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .291/.354/.465 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox batters this year. Abreu is hitting .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .251/.318/.381 with seven homers, 47 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 16.3 units and are 48-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 5.0 units and are 53-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 47 which went under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Chicago’s last seven games.
  • Chicago has posted 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.