The Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Minneapolis to face off against their division foe Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North will showcase the action and the game will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-210) as the favorite over Detroit (+190). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over nine runs and +100 for under nine. The games runline odds stand at -115 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Twins -1.5.
The Tigers have gone 20-26 SU this year and are 26-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 1.2 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 3.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 19-23 SU and 23-18 ATS. The team has lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.1 units ATS. Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Twins games have a 22-18-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 21-23-1.
Blaine Hardy will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Hardy is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins are preparing to start righty Jose Berrios (4-4, 4.05 ERA), who has 50 punchouts and 10 walks, as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Berrios made two starts against the Tigers in 2017, compiling a spotless 2-0 record with a 7.45 ERA.
Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In seven games against divisional opponents, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.35 and the bullpens ERA is 2.02.
The Minnesota offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .242/.328/.363 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Twins hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .293/.318/.543 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 28 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .285/.337/.536 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 24 runs.
Rosario had a slight drop-off in production against lefty pitching at home in 2017. Over 90 such plate appearances, he slashed .291/.300/.407 (compared to his overall season line of .290/.328/.507).
For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.20 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
Tigers hitters have slashed .256/.315/.410 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .312/.364/.482 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Candelario (.272/.359/.497) is up to five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .212/.264/.360 across 239 such plate appearances, Castellanos did not seem to enjoy hitting against righties on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .272/.320/.490).
The Tigers have lost 1.9 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 0.6 units and are 5-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in five of those games, compared to four that went under.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
- The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU.
- Minnesota has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.0 over its last five.
- Each team has hit nine home runs over its last 10 games.