Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are making a road trip to Fenway Park to face off against the Boston Red Sox. New England Sports Network will televise this AL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Detroit (+190) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-210) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at -115 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 41-19 SU and 33-27 ATS. They’ve gained 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in six of those seven. The Tigers have gone 29-32 SU this year and are 34-25 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.4 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 31-27-2 so far in 2018. Detroit has an over/under record of 26-31-2.

Right-hander Artie Lewicki is projected to start for Detroit. Lewicki is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 12 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox will send righty Steven Wright (1-0, 2.25 ERA) to the hill. Wright has 14 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.19. Wright only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (0-0, 5.40 ERA and four strikeouts across six and 2-third innings).

Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.18, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 9.6.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .256/.308/.459 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is slashing .315/.374/.648 with 19 home runs, 50 RBIs and 37 runs scored, and Betts has produced a line of .359/.437/.750 with 17 homers, 37 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Tigers offense has slashed .257/.317/.411 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .333/.376/.517 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .260/.310/.380 with two homers, 20 RBIs, 23 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 0.5 units and are 22-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 16.7 units and are 29-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve cashed the under.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Boston has posted 23.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.