Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are ready to take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast this AL showdown.

Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Boston (-205) as the favorite over Detroit (+187). Bettors are able to wager on the games total with odds posted at -115 for over 9.5 runs and -105 for under 9.5. You can also bet on the games runline with the current odds sitting at -115 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Tigers are 29-33 SU and are 35-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS. Detroit’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 42-19 SU and 33-27 ATS. They’ve gained 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 31-27-2 so far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 27-32-2.

The left-handed Blaine Hardy is projected to start for Detroit. Hardy is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (6-1, 3.88 ERA) to the mound. Rodriguez has 72 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.21. Rodriguez only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (0-1, 7.20 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.98 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.28, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

The Tigers offense has slashed .255/.315/.407 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Detroit’s offensive production been powered by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .336/.378/.521 with six home runs, 33 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Iglesias (.256/.306/.374) is up to two homers, 20 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals.

For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 3.80 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.5.

The Boston hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.321/.447 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the way for the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is slashing .318/.377/.659 with 20 home runs, 52 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Betts has produced a line of .359/.437/.750 with 17 homers, 37 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Tigers have gained 6.7 units and are 12-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 2.0 units and are 4-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in six of those games, compared to six that went under.

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Detroit has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 15 over their last 10.