Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are making a road trip to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Camden Yards. This AL matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the game.

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Both teams have matching -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for the under and -110 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +140 for the Tigers -1.5 runs and -160 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Tigers have gone 10-13 SU this year and are 11-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.0 unit for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 0.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 6-19 SU and 8-16 ATS. The team has lost 10.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.7 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 10-13-1 so far in 2018. Tigers games have gone over 11 times, gone under 11 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Mike Fiers is getting the start for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed Fiers is 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).

The Orioles will put the ball in the right hand of Chris Tillman (0-4, 9.87 ERA, 2.37 WHIP), who’s got eight strikeouts and 11 walks. Tillman only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (0-1, 22.50 ERA across two innings).

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 7.98.

Tigers hitters have slashed .257/.322/.418 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been powered by third baseman Jeimer Candelario and first baseman Miguel Cabrera. Candelario is slashing .290/.359/.548 with four home runs, 11 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Cabrera has a .325 average with two homers, 16 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Candelario seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .173/.218/.269 across 55 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .283/.359/.425).

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.54, a WHIP of 1.62 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.36 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.3 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .220/.264/.354 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

Shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Machado is slashing .347/.429/.663 with eight home runs, 18 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .278/.347/.411 with 25 hits, eight RBIs and 13 runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.

The Tigers have gained 0.7 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 5-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Orioles have lost 11 of their last 12 SU.
  • Baltimore has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.