Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

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Nicholas Castellanos and the Detroit Tigers will be hitting the diamond against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park in a Wednesday night game. The game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be shown on ATPT and FSDT.

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Bookmakers have Detroit (+105) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-115). You can play matchup’s total with current odds sitting at +110 for over 8.5 runs and -130 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Tigers +1.5 (-200) and Pirates -1.5 (+170) for this matchup.

The Tigers have gone only 26-43 SU this year and are 29-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.8 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 32-40 SU and 36-35 ATS. The team’s lost 1.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.

Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 42-27-2 so far in 2019. Tigers games have gone under 34 times, gone over 30 times and pushed on four occasions.

Jordan Zimmermann will get the start for Detroit. The right-handed Zimmermann (0-4, 5.93 ERA) has racked up 21 strikeouts in 30.1 innings so far. He has yet to face Pittsburgh this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 7.00 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Pirates are turning to righty Trevor Williams (2-1, 3.33 ERA), who has 42 strikeouts and 10 walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Williams is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.10, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

Tigers hitters have slashed .228/.293/.375 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Nicholas Castellanos and Miguel Cabrera have paced Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is hitting .261/.320/.444 with seven home runs, 25 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Cabrera is hitting .298 with four homers, 30 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has yielded 5.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.01, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .300/.351/.511 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Josh Bell and right fielder Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ offense this year. Bell is slashing .319/.385/.656 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 53 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .282/.323/.466 with 10 homers, 34 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.

The Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 21-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 0.7 units and are 28-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 22 which went under the total.

Tigers vs. Pirates Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.2 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
  • The Tigers have a total OPS of .668 this season and an OPS of .654 against right-handed pitchers. The Pirates’ OPS sits at .734 overall and .753 against righties.