Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers are gunning for their sixth straight win as they play host to the Detroit Tigers at Miller Park. This interleague matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-255) is favored over Detroit (+230) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Tigers +1.5 runs (+105) and Brewers -1.5 runs (-125).

The Tigers have gone 64-96 SU this year and are 81-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.4 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 93-67 SU and 83-76 ATS. They’ve gained 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS.

Brewers games have a 75-80-4 over/under record in 2018. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-82-8.

Daniel Norris is getting the nod for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Norris is 0-5 with a 5.22 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Wade Miley (5-2, 2.32 ERA), who’s got 48 punchouts and 26 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Miley made two starts against the Tigers in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 5.40 ERA.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.94 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .289/.396/.533 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .322/.397/.588 with 34 home runs, 106 RBIs, 114 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Cain is batting .310 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 88 runs and 30 steals.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.43 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.44, along with a K/9 of 7.91.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.303/.380 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .298/.354/.496 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Candelario (.224/.316/.395) has produced 19 homers, 54 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Detroit has tallied three extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 20 XBH over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 19 over their last 10.
  • The Detroit defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU while the Brewers have won seven of their last eight.