Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers will be facing off against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be airing this AL matchup.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Odds

Detroit (+225) is coming into this one as the underdog to Houston (-250) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this day game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Runline odds stand at +100 for picking the Tigers +1.5 runs and -120 for the Astros -1.5.

The Tigers are just 40-56 SU and have gone 50-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.0 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 63-34 SU and 48-48 ATS. The team has gained 2.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Astros games have a 43-48-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Detroit has been a great under bet with a total record of 37-55-3.

Right-hander Michael Fulmer is getting the nod for the visiting Tigers. Fulmer is 3-8 with a 4.11 ERA and 91 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).

The Astros are going with righty Gerrit Cole (9-2, 2.57 ERA), who has 169 strikeouts and 41 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.97. Cole only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (1-0, 3.38 ERA and seven strikeouts across eight innings).

Houston’s pitching staff has given up 3.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 2.99 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.82, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.8.

Houston’s offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .221/.272/.326 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Astros batters have been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman. Altuve is hitting .335/.399/.476 with nine home runs, 44 RBIs, 62 runs and 14 steals, and Bregman’s line is .287/.385/.538 with 20 homers, 63 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.31 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 8.05.

Tigers hitters have slashed .247/.307/.387 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five outings (0-5 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .306/.362/.523 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .272/.311/.380 with two homers, 34 RBIs, 29 runs and 12 steals.

The Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 34-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 7.6 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Detroit has tallied nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Houston has eight XBH over its last five.
  • Houston has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 12 over their last 10.