Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs Game Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Hockey, NHL

Squaring off for the fourth and final time this season, the Detroit Red Wings and the Toronto Maple Leafs clash at Air Canada Centre for an Original Six showdown. The opening face-off is at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 24, and it will be broadcasted live on CBC Sports.

Detroit Red Wings at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Detroit (+225) is entering this one as the underdog to Toronto (-265), and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at an even 6 goals (-105 for the over, -115 for the under).

Earning 6.8 units for moneyline bettors, Toronto is 44-30 straight up (SU) overall this year. That winning percentage, ranked third in the Atlantic Division so far this season, is a welcome improvement compared to what the team did during the 2016-17 season (40-42). Through 74 regular season contests, 38 of its games have gone over the total, while 32 have gone under and just four have pushed. The team is 25-10 SU at home this year.

The Maple Leafs come into the matchup with the third-strongest power-play unit in the NHL, as the team has found the net on 23.6 percent of their extra-man advantages this year. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated eighth overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 82.4 percent of all penalties.

The Maple Leafs, as a collective unit, have been penalized just 3.3 times per game overall this season, and 2.2 per game over their last five contests home outings. The teams had to defend opponent power plays for just 7.4 minutes per game over their last 10 outings, overall.

Sporting a .918 save percentage and 30.7 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (36-24-5) has been the top goalkeeper for the Leafs this year. If the Leafs choose to rest him, however, the team may turn to Curtis McElhinney (10-6-6 record, .935 save percentage, 2.09 goals against average).

The Leafs will continue to rely on offensive production out of Mitchell Marner and William Nylander. Marner (63 points) is up to 20 goals and 43 assists and has recorded multiple points in 15 different games this year. Nylander has 16 goals and 37 assists to his name and has notched a point in 39 games.

Over on the other bench, Detroit is 27-47 straight up (SU) and has lost 17.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 74 regular season contests, 43 of its games have gone under the total, while 29 have gone over and just two have pushed. The Red Wings are 13-24 SU as the away team this season.

The Red Wings have converted on just 17.3 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s ranked 24th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 23rd overall and it’s successfully defended 78.1 percent of all opponent power plays.

Detroit’s players have been called for penalties 3.7 times per game in total this season, and 4.4 per game over their past five contests. The teams had to kill penalties 11.4 minutes per game over their last five road outings.

Jimmy Howard (.909 save percentage and 2.86 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Detroit. Howard is averaging 26.7 saves per game and owns a 19-36-8 record.

For the visiting Red Wings, the offense will be facilitated by Dylan Larkin (11 goals, 42 assists) and Henrik Zetterberg (10 goals, 37 assists).

Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Picks

NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • Two of Toronto’s last ten games have been decided by a shootout. The team is 1-1 in those games and 7-2 overall in shootouts this year.
  • The total has gone over in four of Toronto’s last five outings.
  • Detroit has managed 27.8 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Toronto is averaging 35.0 shots per game over its last five at home.
  • Over Detroit’s last ten games, six of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 0-6 in those games).