Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors ATS Prediction

The Denver Nuggets (40-34), 9-point underdogs, will travel to Air Canada Centre to meet the Toronto Raptors (54-20). The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 27, 2018.

Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors Betting Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last contest. The Raptors fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 117-106, while the Nuggets lost big to the Philadelphia 76ers, 123-104.

Denver had a free throw rate of 0.247 (above their season average of 0.196) while Toronto had an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (above their season average of 23.2). Toronto was lifted by Jonas Valanciunas, who put up 16 points and 10 rebounds. Paul Millsap, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Denver with 16 points and nine rebounds.

The productive offense of Toronto will clash against the porous defense of Denver. The Raptors rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Nuggets are 25th in defensive efficiency. The Raptors should have the edge on that end of the court.

Of the Nuggets 73 games with betting action, 37 have finished over the O/U total. Denver comes into the game with records of 40-34 straight up (SU) and 33-37-3 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Denver, a little over half of Raptors games have finished over the projected point total. Additionally, Toronto owns records of 54-20 SU and 40-34 ATS.

The Nuggets Jamal Murray has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 21.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry has averaged 21.8 points, 8.6 assists and 5.6 rebounds during that same time frame for the Raptors.

In their first matchup this season, Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets to a 129-111 win. He produced eight points, 16 rebounds and 10 assists. The two teams combined to score 240 points, which was well over the projected point total of 217, and Denver covered as a 2-point favorite. Getting to the free throw line was one of Denver’s largest strengths. They made 29 trips to the line, while Toronto went 25 times.

Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors ATS Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank second in three pointers allowed per game (25.0) while the Nuggets rank 11th (28.9).
  • Toronto averages 17.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Denver ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
  • The Raptors average 48.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
  • Toronto ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (7.1) while Denver ranks 19th (7.9).
  • Toronto ranks ninth in fast break points per game (13.6) while Denver ranks 20th in fast break points allowed per game (12.5).
  • The Nuggets rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while the Raptors rank 25th (13.3).
  • The Raptors average 6.0 blocks per game, which ranks second in the league. The Nuggets rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).
  • Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (41.4) while Toronto ranks ninth (42.4).
  • Toronto averages 24.1 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Denver ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (24.9).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Denver is 13-2 and Toronto is 25-5.
  • The Nuggets are 34-24 when they score more than 100 points, while the Raptors are 50-13.
  • Toronto is 19-18 ATS at home, while Denver is 14-20-2 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 18 of the Nuggets 36 road games, while 19 of the Raptors 37 home games have gone under.

Betting Trends:

  • In their last five games, Denver and Toronto have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Nuggets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Raptors are 0-5.
  • The Nuggets average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, up from 1.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 113.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (11.5 above their season average).