Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Free Prediction

Two teams that have served a lot of time in the penalty box this season, the Dallas Stars and the Washington Capitals face off at Capital One Arena for an East-West tilt. The opening face-off takes place at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 20, and fans at home will be able to see it live on Fox Sports Southwest Plus.

Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals Odds

Washington (-150) is currently the favorite over Dallas (+130). The Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals and originally opened at -130 for the over and +110 for the under. That line has since shifted however, and it presently sits at -125 for the over and +105 for the under.

Washington is 41-31 straight up (SU) and has netted 5.4 units for moneyline bettors this year. That winning percentage, ranked first in the Metropolitan Division so far in this young season, is a big slide from what the team managed during last year’s regular season (55-27). Through 72 regular season matches, 41 of its games have gone over the total, while 30 have gone under and just one has pushed. This year, the team is 25-11 SU at home.

The Capitals have converted on 22.5 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a mark that places them in the top-5 among NHL teams. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated 20th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 79.7 percent of all penalties.

As a team, the Capitals have been penalized 4.1 times per game overall this season, 3.8 per game over their last five outings total, and 4.2 per game over their last five home outings. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays for 8.5 minutes per game over their last 10 matchups, in total.

Sporting a .906 save percentage and 27.6 saves per game, Braden Holtby (30-19-4) has been the primary option in goal for the Caps this year. If the Caps, however, choose to rest him, the team may go with Philipp Grubauer (11-19-19 record, .922 save percentage, 2.37 goals against average).

Alex Ovechkin and Evgeny Kuznetsov will both spearhead the attack for the Capitals. Ovechkin (78 points) is up to 43 goals and 35 assists and has recorded two or more points 20 times this year. Kuznetsov has 21 goals and 50 assists to his name and has recorded a point in 42 games.

Dallas is 38-35 straight up (SU) and has lost 9.6 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 73 regular season contests, 37 of its games have gone over the total, while 34 have gone under and just two have pushed. The Stars are 14-22 SU as the visiting team this season.

The Stars have converted on 20.5 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 12th overall and it’s successfully killed off 81.9 percent of all opponent power plays.

Dallas’ skaters have been penalized 4.3 times per game this season, 4.4 per game over their past five contests total, and 4.4 per game over their last five road outings. The team has been forced to kill penalties 11.4 minutes per game over their last five road outings.

Ben Bishop (24.8 saves per game) has been the main choice in goal for Dallas. Bishop owns a 26-27-6 record, while registering a .916 save percentage and 2.49 goals against average this year.

Tyler Seguin (38 goals, 31 assists) and Jamie Benn (26 goals, 40 assists) are the top point-getters for Dallas and will lead the attack for the visiting Stars.

Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Free Picks

Pick: SU Winner – Stars, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • Dallas is 4-3 in games decided by a shootout this season while Washington is 3-1 in shootouts.
  • The over has hit in three of Washington’s last five games.
  • Washington’s attempted 28.9 shots per contest overall this season (ranked 32nd in the NHL), and 29.4 across their last 10 outings.
  • Over Dallas’ last ten games, four of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 0-4 in those games).
  • Dallas skaters have dished out the league’s ninth-most hits per game (22.8).