Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic Free Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Dallas Mavericks (24-54), 1.5-point favorites, will travel to Amway Center to square off against the Orlando Magic (23-54). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 202.5 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Florida at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 4, 2018.

Dallas Mavericks at Orlando Magic Betting Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Magic had no trouble getting past the New York Knicks 97-73, while the Mavericks beat the Portland Trail Blazers 115-109.

Dallas dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 6.5 (better than their season average of 11.3) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.3 (below their season average of 17.7). Portland was 11.8 and 12.5, respectively, for those same stats. The Magic, meanwhile, held the Knicks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 24.4). The Knicks had a free throw rate of 0.105 (below their season average of 0.174). Orlando was lifted by Khem Birch, who recorded 11 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Dennis Smith Jr. led the way for Dallas, contributing 18 points, eight rebounds and eight assists.

It could be a tough game for Orlando on the offensive glass. The Magic rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.1 percent), while Dallas ranks sixth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.9 percent).

Of the Mavericks’ 77 games with betting action, 42 have finished under the projected point total. Dallas heads into the contest with records of 24-54 straight up (SU) and 39-38 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Magic’s 76 games with betting action, 45 have finished under the total. Moreover, Orlando is 23-54 SU and 33-41-2 ATS.

Nikola Vucevic has taken his game to another level recently for Orlando, averaging 15.4 points, 11.6 rebounds and 1.2 blocks over the last five games.

In their first matchup this season, Smith Jr. led the Mavericks to a 114-99 win. He scored a game-high 20 points. The two teams combined to score 213 points, which was just under the projected point total of 215.5, and Dallas covered as an 8-point favorite. The Mavericks’ 4.1 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Magic, who had a rate of 12.8.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Orlando Magic Free Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Neither of these teams are great at rebounding the ball. The Magic are 25th in the league with 41.6 rebounds per game while the Mavericks are 26th with 41.2 rebounds per game.
  • Dallas ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while Orlando ranks 29th (48.5).
  • The Magic rank 14th in blocks per game (4.8) while the Mavericks rank 29th (3.8).
  • Dallas ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.2) while Orlando ranks 17th (12.7).
  • Dallas averages 22.6 assists per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Orlando ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
  • The Mavericks rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while the Magic rank 19th (17.2).
  • The Mavericks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (32.6) while the Magic rank 14th (29.5).
  • Orlando ranks 12th in fast break points per game (12.6) while Dallas ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.2).
  • Dallas is 16-13 when they allow below 100 points, while Orlando is 11-9.
  • The Mavericks are 18-26 when they reach 100 points, while the Magic are 22-29.
  • Orlando is 14-23-1 ATS at home, while Dallas is 20-18 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 21 of the Mavericks’ 38 road games, while 24 of the Magic’s 38 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Mavericks are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Magic are 0-5.
  • In their last five games, Dallas has 5 unders, while Orlando has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 2.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Magic have scored an average of 95.2 points per game (8.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 93.4 points per game (14.8 below their season average).