Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Golden State Warriors (22-6) welcome the Dallas Mavericks (8-20) to ORACLE Arena. The Warriors will attempt to extend their seven-game winning streak. The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 211 points with Golden State opening as an 11.5-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 14, 2017, and it can be seen on TNT.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Free Preview

In the Mavericks last outing, they beat the San Antonio Spurs, 95-89. With 12 points and 12 rebounds, Dwight Powell played well for Dallas. The Mavericks had an absurdly low turnover percentage of 6.0 (better than their season average of 12.5) and held the Spurs to an effective field goal percentage of 0.443 (below their season average of 0.510). The Warriors will look to maintain momentum after defeating the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game, 111-104. With 28 points on 11-for-21 shooting, Kevin Durant was Golden State’s high scorer. Golden State launched 20 three pointers, making 10 of them (50.0 percent), while Portland was 7-28 (25.0 percent). It will be a battle of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Warriors (ranked fifth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the more grind-it-out Mavericks (23rd in possessions per game). Also, the Mavericks rank 26th in offensive efficiency (102.2), while the Warriors rank fourth in defensive efficiency (102.2). Of Dallas 28 games, 15 have finished under the projected point total, while 15 of Golden State’s 28 games have finished over the projected point total. The Warriors have the superior straight up (SU) record (22-6 vs. 8-20), but both teams have the same against the spread (ATS) record (13-15). Durant has really been playing well over the last five games for Golden State, averaging 27.8 points, 7.2 assists, 6.6 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game. These teams have already met once this season. The two teams combined to put up 236 points in that game, which was well over the projected point total of 217. The Warriors won 133-103, covering as 13.5-point favorites. The Warriors dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.645 and a superb free throw rate of 0.256. For those same stats, the Mavericks were 0.443 and 0.188, respectively. Durant was a top performer in the victory, with 25 points, eight rebounds and six assists.

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Warriors rank seventh in steals per game (8.6) while the Mavericks rank 28th (6.8).
  • Golden State ranks eighth in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while Dallas ranks 28th (46.3).
  • Golden State ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (18.2) while Dallas ranks last (13.5).
  • Dallas and Golden State both rank 25th in second chance points per game (9.8).
  • Dallas is 6-6 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 5-7 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 7 of the Mavericks 12 road games, while 6 of the Warriors 12 home games have gone over.
  • Dallas is 7-6 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 7-1.
  • The Warriors are 21-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 5-8.
  • The Warriors rank first in assists per game (30.6) while the Mavericks rank 22nd (21.2).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (8.7) while Dallas ranks 28th (3.6).
  • The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (22.3) while the Mavericks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.0).
  • The Mavericks rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Warriors rank 20th in three pointers allowed per game (29.6).
  • Dallas ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.9) while Golden State ranks 23rd (45.7).

Bettings Trends:

  • Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in their last five games.
  • Over their last five games, Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Warriors average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.6, up from 11.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 100.2 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 99.4 points per game (3.6 below their season average).