Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

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The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the St. Louis Cardinals in a Saturday showdown. This NL matchup is going to be nationally televised on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Colorado (receiving +175) is entering this one as the underdog against St. Louis (-185) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -125 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +105 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Rockies have gone 58-71 SU this year and are 60-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors and 14.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 69-58 SU and 65-61 ATS. The team has lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 1.6 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 49-67-10 in 2019. Colorado has an over/under record of 62-57-9.

Right-hander Chi Chi Gonzalez will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. Gonzalez is 0-4 with a 5.87 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the right hand of Dakota Hudson (12-6, 3.63 ERA), who has 104 strikeouts and 63 walks this season as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Hudson did not record a start against the Rockies in 2018.

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.14 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

St. Louis’ hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .275/.383/.418 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is slashing .259/.333/.467 with 28 home runs, 68 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while DeJong’s line sits at .247/.326/.458 with 23 homers, 60 RBIs and 81 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.70 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.25, along with a K-per-9 of 8.43.

The Rockies offense has slashed .269/.330/.457 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Blackmon is slashing .323/.368/.598 with 27 home runs, 72 RBIs and 96 runs scored, while Arenado is slashing .304/.365/.563 with 32 homers, 99 RBIs and 83 runs scored.

The Rockies have lost 4.2 units and are 34-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 1.4 units and are 54-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 37 of those games, as opposed to 57 which went under the total.

Rockies vs. Cardinals MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Colorado has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Rockies have a team OPS of .787 this season and an OPS of .777 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .726 overall and .723 against righties.
  • The Rockies have lost four of their last five games SU while the Cardinals have won five of their last six.
  • St. Louis has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.6 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.