Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will be taking on their divisional rival San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. The matchup gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on both ATRM and NSBA.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (-110) is the favorite against Colorado (+100) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also bet on the games runline with the odds standing at Rockies +1.5 runs (-210) and Giants +-1.5 runs (+175).

The Rockies are 25-21 SU and have gone 25-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 6.2 units for moneyline gamblers over the early portions of the year and 6.9 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 23-24 SU and 27-19 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 23-21-2 thus far in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 26 times, gone over 16 times and pushed on three instances.

Tyler Anderson is getting the nod for Colorado. The left-handed Anderson is 3-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA across four innings).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Ty Blach (3-4, 4.05 ERA), who has 26 punchouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a 1.43 WHIP. Blach made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.80 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.48 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 26 games against divisional foes, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.98 and the bullpens ERA is 3.82.

San Francisco’s hitters have put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .284/.325/.437 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led the Giants batters this year. Belt is hitting .308/.408/.577 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 26 runs scored, and Posey’s line is .307/.380/.421 with 43 hits, 15 RBIs and 19 runs.

Belt didn’t do as well batting against lefties at home last season. Across 76 such plate appearances, he slashed .179/.276/.299 (compared to his overall season line of .241/.355/.469).

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.21 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.31 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.54, along with a K/9 of 9.71.

Rockies hitters have slashed .230/.307/.395 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .322/.412/.566 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Blackmon (.269/.374/.538) has produced 12 homers, 23 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .408/.477/.803 across 86 such plate appearances, Arenado enjoyed hitting against lefty pitching on the road last season (compared to his overall season slash line of .309/.373/.586).

The Rockies have lost 6.7e-16 units and are 12-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 6.0 units and are 13-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve cashed the under.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • San Francisco has recorded 25.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 outings.