Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies are ready to face off against their NL West nemesis San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup begins at 3:40 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on both ATRM and FSSD.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog against Colorado (-125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds sitting at +120 for the Rockies -1.5 runs and -140 for the Padres +1.5.

The Padres are just 16-27 SU and 19-23 ATS. They’ve lost 5.0 units for moneyline bettors and 10.3 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Rockies are 23-19 SU and have gone 22-19 ATS. Overall, the teams gained 4.0 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 4.5 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Padres games have an over/under record of 18-22-2 so far in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 24 times, gone over 15 times and pushed on two instances.

Right-hander German Marquez is getting the start for the visiting Rockies. Marquez is 2-4 with a 5.35 ERA and 38 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).

The Padres are putting the ball in the right hand of Jordan Lyles (0-1, 3.28 ERA, 1.09 WHIP), who has 22 strikeouts and eight walks this season. Lyles is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA over zero starts against Colorado this year.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.05 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 27 games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.94.

San Diego’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The teams hit .227/.304/.343 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva have led the Padres hitters so far. Hosmer is hitting .264/.366/.466 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 19 runs scored, while Villanueva’s line is .227/.308/.496 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.

Hosmer especially enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home last year. In 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.38.

Rockies hitters have slashed .233/.310/.407 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is hitting .326/.418/.593 with eight home runs, 23 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .275/.376/.549 with 11 homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .309/.373/.586, Arenado did not seem to enjoy hitting against righty pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .243/.316/.443 across 263 such plate appearances.

The Rockies have gained 6.0 units and are 12-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 5.8 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 15 which went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Colorado has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.