Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

The Colorado Rockies are ready to play their divisional foe San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The matchup gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET and you can catch it on both ATRM and FSSD.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Colorado (+125) as the underdog to San Diego (-145). The total sits at 8 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Rockies -1.5 runs (-120) and Padres +1.5 runs (+110).

The Padres are 0-4 SU and 1-2 ATS. They’ve lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies are 2-2 SU and have gone 2-1 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors through the early part of the year, but have gained 1.0 unit ATS.

Padres games have an over/under record of 2-1 in 2018. Rockies games have gone over two times, gone under once and pushed on zero instances.

The Rockies have gained 1.4 units and are 1-0 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in zero of those games, as opposed to one that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.0 units and are 0-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher.

Southpaw Kyle Freeland will get the start for the visiting Rockies. Freeland started 28 games last year while finishing the season 11-11 overall with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. He made two starts against San Diego in 2017 and put together a 0-1 record against the Padres with a 5.40 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

The Padres are rolling with righty Tyson Ross as their starter. Ross started 10 games last year while finishing the season 3-3 overall with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP.

San Diego’s pitching staff has yielded 6.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 6.10, a WHIP of 1.74 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 5.2. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 6.4 K/9. In one games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 9.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.50.

The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.5 runs per outing so far this season and the team has hit .225/.313/.408 to begin the year.

The Padres’ offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and second baseman Cory Spangenberg. Hosmer is slashing .375/.474/.625 with six hits and two RBIs, while Spangenberg has two hits, three RBIs and two runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer did not do as well hitting against lefties at home last year, slashing .224/.274/.357 over 106 such plate appearances.

For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 6.61 ERA, 2.14 WHIP and 8.27 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.58, along with a WHIP of 2.14 and a K/9 of 10.70.

The Rockies offense has slashed .266/.329/.525 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year.

Colorado’s hitters have been led by right fielder Blackmon Blackmon and second baseman DJ LeMahieu. Blackmon has six hits, six RBIs and five runs scored, while LeMahieu is hitting .286 with four hits, two homers, two RBIs and three runs scored.

Blackmon seemed to take a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .284/.346/.476 across 254 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .331/.399/.601).

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Padres went 7-12 SU against the Rockies in 2017.
  • The Rockies’ bullpen managed 2.76 ERA against the Padres last year.