Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host the Colorado Rockies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either ATRM or NSPA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Colorado (+140) is entering this one as the underdog against Philadelphia (-150) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. The games runline odds sit at -155 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +135 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.

The Rockies are 32-33 SU and have gone 30-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 33-30 SU and 29-34 ATS. The teams gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 27-32-4 so far in 2018. Colorado has an over/under record of 29-33-3.

Jon Gray will get the start for Colorado. The right-handed Gray is 6-6 with a 5.66 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts over seven innings).

The Phillies will turn to righty Aaron Nola (7-2, 2.35 ERA), who’s got 80 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Nola only made one start against the Rockies in 2017 (0-0, 2.57 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .190/.304/.304 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Herrera is hitting .288/.350/.436 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Hernandez is batting .265 with seven homers, 22 RBIs, 43 runs and 10 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.22, along with a K-per-9 of 8.91.

Rockies hitters have slashed .245/.317/.409 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .314/.407/.549 with 12 home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .288/.369/.513 with 13 homers, 31 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

The Rockies have gained 2.1 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.5 units and are 21-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 23 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Rockies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Philadelphia has posted 14.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.8 over its last five.