Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will make a road trip to Los Angeles to play their divisional nemesis Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on either ATRM or SNLA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Vegas has listed Los Angeles (-165) as the favorite over Colorado (+155). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds coming in at Rockies +1.5 runs (-140) and Dodgers +-1.5 runs (+120).

The Rockies have gone 25-22 SU this year and are 25-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.9 units ATS. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 20-26 SU and 16-29 ATS. The team has lost 24.2 units for moneyline bettors and 15.3 units ATS.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 22-22-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 17-26-3.

German Marquez is getting the start for the visiting Rockies. The right-handed Marquez is 2-5 with a 5.15 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 4.50 ERA and four strikeouts.

The Dodgers are sending righty Walker Buehler (2-1, 2.67 ERA) to the mound. Buehler has 34 strikeouts and nine walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Buehler did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 3.42 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 28 games against divisional foes, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.51 and the bullpens ERA is 4.22.

Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.337/.483 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Dodgers offense has been led by catcher Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp. Grandal is hitting .270/.370/.511 with eight home runs, 28 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Kemp’s line is .321/.361/.511 with five homers, 20 RBIs and 14 runs.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.60.

The Rockies offense has slashed .233/.309/.395 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Colorado’s offensive production been powered by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon, who have combined to launch 20 home runs. Arenado is hitting .331/.418/.567 with eight home runs, 25 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .269/.374/.531 with 12 homers, 23 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .309/.373/.586, Arenado didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .243/.316/.443 across 263 such plate appearances.

The Rockies have gained 5.0 units and are 13-14 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 20.7 units and are 9-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 19 of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • Colorado has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 13 over their last 10.