Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will play host to the Colorado Rockies at PETCO Park. The game will start at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be shown on both ATRM and FSSD.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Odds

Vegas is listing San Diego (-110) as the narrow favorite over Colorado (+100). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 or the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the odds standing at -210 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +175 for the Padres -1.5.

The Padres are 16-26 SU and 18-23 ATS. The teams lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 11.3 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies, on the other hand, are 22-19 SU and have gone 22-18 ATS. In total, the teams gained 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.5 units ATS.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 18-21-2 so far in 2018. Colorado has been a decent under bet with a total record of 15-23-2.

Southpaw Tyler Anderson is projected to start for Colorado. Anderson is 2-1 with a 4.23 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against San Diego this year (two starts).

The Padres will turn to lefty Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 2.98 ERA), who has 46 punchouts and 14 walks to his credit as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Lucchesi is 1-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Colorado this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.05, a WHIP of 1.56 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.17, a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 9.7. In 26 games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.65 and the bullpens ERA is 2.79.

The San Diego offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.317/.339 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Eric Hosmer has helped lead the Padres’ offense this year with five home runs, 13 RBIs and 19 runs scored. Hosmer didn’t do as well batting against left-handed pitching at home last season. Across 106 such plate appearances, he slashed .224/.274/.357 (his overall season line was .318/.385/.498).

For the visitors, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.15 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.77, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.28.

The Rockies offense has slashed .231/.309/.403 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Colorado’s hitters have been led by Nolan Arenado. Arenado is slashing .313/.405/.588 with eight home runs, 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored. He enjoyed batting against lefties on the road last year, putting up a slash line of .408/.477/.803 across 86 such plate appearances (his total season line was .309/.373/.586).

The Padres are coming off of a 5-3 win against the Cardinals, while the Rockies just dropped a 7-3 game to the Brewers.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only one of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Rockies have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit five over their last 10.
  • San Diego has averaged 17.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.