Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will be taking on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL showdown gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or NSPA.

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Philadelphia (-130) as the favorite over Colorado (+120). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds listed at -105 for over 8.5 runs and -115 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the games spread with the runline odds standing at -175 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.

The Rockies are 32-34 SU and have gone 30-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 34-30 SU and 29-34 ATS. They’ve gained 2.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 10.8 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 27-32-4 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 29-33-3.

Tyler Anderson is getting the nod for the visiting Rockies. The left-handed Anderson is 3-1 with a 4.81 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).

The Phillies are turning to righty Nick Pivetta (4-5, 3.76 ERA), who’s got 76 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Pivetta only made one start against the Rockies in 2017 (0-1, 27.00 ERA across 2.2 innings).

Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.66 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.22, along with a WHIP of 1.36 and a K/9 of 8.91.

The Rockies offense has slashed .246/.317/.408 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.7 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

Colorado’s offensive production been powered by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon, who’ve collectively belted 25 home runs. Arenado is hitting .307/.399/.537 with 12 home runs, 36 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while Blackmon is hitting .286 with 13 homers, 31 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.64, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The teams hit .184/.303/.283 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies hitters have been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .283/.345/.429 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Hernandez line sits at .264/.376/.397 with seven homers, 22 RBIs, 44 runs and 10 stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 2.1 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 2.1 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in eight of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve cashed the under.

Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Philadelphia has posted 14.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.0 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.