Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will be taking on their divisional rival Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The game will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both ATRM and SNLA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-160) is hosting this game as the favorite over Colorado (+150) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The games current runline odds sit at -145 for taking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +125 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Dodgers are 21-27 SU and 17-30 ATS. They’ve lost 24.8 units for moneyline bettors and 15.3 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Rockies have gone 26-23 SU this year and are 26-22 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 5.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.9 units ATS.

Dodgers games have an over/under record of 23-23-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-27-3.

Southpaw Kyle Freeland will get the start for the visiting Rockies. Freeland is 4-4 with a 3.17 ERA and 49 strikeouts. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-2 record with a 4.26 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Dodgers will put the ball in the right hand of Kenta Maeda (3-3, 3.89 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who has 54 strikeouts and 13 walks this season. Maeda only made one start against the Rockies in 2017 (2-0, 4.50 ERA and eight strikeouts across eight innings).

Los Angeles pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starters have a 3.38 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 30 games against NL West opponents, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.43 and the bullpens ERA is 4.05.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .206/.294/.450 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Dodgers hitters have been led by outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor. Kemp is hitting .331/.368/.517 with five home runs, 21 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Taylor’s line sits at .242/.322/.432 with six homers, 18 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

Kemp did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .256/.347/.326 in 49 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .276/.318/.463).

In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.21 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.21 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

Rockies hitters have slashed .230/.305/.390 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s offense. Arenado is slashing .323/.411/.549 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Blackmon is slashing .262/.364/.512 with 12 homers, 23 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .243/.316/.443 across 263 such plate appearances, Arenado seemed to have a little trouble hitting righties on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .309/.373/.586).

The Rockies have gained 6.7 units and are 14-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 3.5 units and are 7-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in three of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Dodgers have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Los Angeles has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 15 over their last 10.