Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies will head east to face the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The game gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on either ATRM or FSMW.

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-125) is favored over Colorado (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at -180 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Cardinals are 53-51 straight up (SU) and 52-54 against the spread (ATS). The teams lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors and 5.7 units (ATS). St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies are 56-47 SU and have gone 55-50 ATS. In total, the teams accumulated 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Cardinals games have a 49-53-4 over/under record in 2018. Colorado has been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-53-5.

Left-hander Kyle Freeland is projected to start for Colorado. Freeland (9-6, 3.13 ERA) has racked up 100 strikeouts in 126.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

The Cardinals will turn to righty Luke Weaver (6-9, 4.70 ERA) to the mound. Weaver has 103 strikeouts and 41 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Weaver did not record a start against the Rockies in 2017.

St. Louis pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.45, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The St. Louis offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .256/.330/.390 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez have paced the Cardinals offense this year. Ozuna is slashing .269/.312/.384 with 11 home runs, 55 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Martinez’s line is .295/.360/.462 with 13 homers, 59 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.33 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.19, along with a K-per-9 of 8.86.

Rockies hitters have slashed .257/.324/.437 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .309/.393/.599 with 27 home runs, 75 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Blackmon (.289/.360/.505) has produced 20 homers, 47 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

The Rockies have gained 4.9 units and are 29-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 0.9 units and are 15-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 17 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve cashed the under.

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in only one of Colorado’s last seven outings.
  • St. Louis has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 13 over their last 10.