Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies are ready to play their division rival San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game will start at 4:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on either ATRM or FSSD.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Colorado (-145) as the favorite over San Diego (+135). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -105 for over 8 runs and -115 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +100 for the Rockies -1.5 runs and -120 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Padres are 54-84 straight up (SU) and 66-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 25.1 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Rockies have gone 73-62 SU this year and are 68-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 10.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Padres games have a 65-67-5 over/under record in 2018. Rockies games have gone under 71 times, gone over 57 times and pushed on six occasions.

Kyle Freeland will get the start for the visiting Rockies. The left-handed Freeland is 12-7 with a 2.90 ERA and 142 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA against San Diego this year (three starts).

The Padres are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jacob Nix (2-2, 4.05 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and five walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.35. Nix is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.41 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.96, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Rockies offense has slashed .253/.320/.425 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trevor Story and third baseman Nolan Arenado continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Story is slashing .292/.349/.535 with 26 home runs, 86 RBIs, 72 runs and 22 steals, while Arenado (.302/.384/.560) has produced 31 homers, 91 RBIs and 84 runs scored.

For the home team, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.09, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.48 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 61 games against divisional foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.55 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.31.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .241/.286/.466 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .253/.315/.391 with 13 home runs, 56 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Galvis has produced a line of .239/.293/.366 with 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 49 runs.

The Rockies have gained 5.8 units and are 39-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 13.7 units and are 16-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 17 that went under.

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • Colorado has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 15 over their last 10.