Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies are ready to face their divisional rival Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The game will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on both ATRM and SNLA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-190) is favored against Colorado (+180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 7 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds stand at -125 for picking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +105 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Rockies are 82-68 SU and are 76-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 83-68 SU and 66-84 ATS. The team has lost 25.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Dodgers games have an over/under record of 70-74-6 in 2018. Colorado has been a great under bet with a total record of 62-81-6.

Kyle Freeland will get the nod for Colorado. The left-handed Freeland (15-7, 2.96 ERA) has recorded 159 strikeouts in 182.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 2.79 ERA against Los Angeles this year (three starts).

The Dodgers are turning to lefty Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.51 ERA), who’s got 142 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.01. Kershaw is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Dodgers starters have an ERA of 3.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.68.

The Los Angeles hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .312/.411/.549 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Dodgers’ hitters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor. Bellinger is hitting .261/.345/.470 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Taylor’s line is .249/.325/.441 with 16 homers, 60 RBIs and 76 runs.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.30.

Rockies hitters have slashed .256/.322/.431 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Colorado’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story, who have combined to belt 59 home runs. Blackmon is slashing .287/.353/.490 with 26 home runs, 64 RBIs and 108 runs scored. Story (.288/.343/.550) has produced 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 5.3 units and are 32-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 4.7 units and are 28-30 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 35 which went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Colorado has recorded eight extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Dodgers have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Los Angeles has posted 26.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.0 over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 18 over their last 10.