Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick

Jonathan GarosArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Colorado Rockies are set to face off against their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The matchup will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Arizona to catch the action.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Arizona (-170) as the favorite over Colorado (+160). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -135 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 79-75 straight up (SU) and 76-77 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 7.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.6 units (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies have gone 83-70 SU this year and are 77-75 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 11.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 70-77-6 in 2018. The Rockies have also been a great under bet with a total record of 63-82-7.

Antonio Senzatela is getting the nod for the visiting Rockies. The right-handed Senzatela is 5-6 with a 4.81 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 0-3 with 11 strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA against Arizona this year (two starts).

The Diamondbacks are turning to lefty Patrick Corbin (11-6, 3.05 ERA), who has 237 strikeouts and 43 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Corbin is 1-0 with 21 strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA over three starts against Colorado this year.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.71, along with a K/9 of 9.00.

Rockies hitters have slashed .254/.321/.427 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Colorado’s offensive production has been led by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story. Blackmon is slashing .287/.355/.493 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 110 runs scored, while Story is hitting .288 with 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 steals.

In the home-team dugout, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 68 games against divisional foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.93 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.30.

Arizona’s hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .199/.223/.404 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is slashing .298/.398/.551 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .297/.353/.522 with 29 homers, 84 RBIs and 74 runs.

The Diamondbacks have lost 6.3 units and are 50-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends,

  • The over has hit in just two of Colorado’s last seven games.
  • The Colorado defense has allowed two errors over its last five games, compared to five errors for Arizona over its last five.
  • The Rockies have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.