Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche and the Nashville Predators face off at Bridgestone Arena in Game 1 of the opening round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The first puck will drop at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 12, and it is being shown live on NBC Sports Network.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Nashville Predators Odds

Nashville (+245) is playing the role of underdog to Nashville (-290), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at an even 6 goals. The odds for betting the total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under.

Nashville is 53-29 straight up (SU) and has earned 14.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. That winning percentage, ranked second in the NHL in this young season, is an improvement over the 41-41 record from the 2016-17 season campaign. Of its 82 games this season, 41 have gone over the total, while 40 have gone under and just one has pushed. This year, the team is 28-13 SU at home.

The Predators have converted on 21.2 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked sixth overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 81.9 percent of all penalties.

The Predators, as a collective unit, have been penalized 4.5 times per game overall this season, 4.6 per game over their past five games total, and 4.8 per game over their last five home outings. The team’s had to stave off opponent power plays for a whopping 14.6 minutes per game over their last five outings, in total.

Averaging 28.9 saves per game with a .927 save percentage, Pekka Rinne (42-17-4) has been the top goalkeeper for Nashville this season. If Nashville chooses to give him a rest, however, the team could turn to Juuse Saros (12-14-14 record, .925 save percentage, 2.45 goals against average).

Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson will each lead the way for the Predators. Forsberg (64 points) has tallied 26 goals and 38 assists and has recorded two or more points 17 times this year. Arvidsson has 29 goals and 32 assists to his credit and has recorded at least one point in 42 contests.

On the other bench, Colorado is 43-39 straight up (SU) and has netted 9.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. A total of 42 of its outings have gone over the total, while 33 have gone under and just seven have pushed. The Avalanche are 15-26 SU as the away team this season.

The Avalanche have scored on 22.0 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s good enough for eighth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked fifth overall and it’s successfully killed off 83.3 percent of all penalties.

Colorado’s players have been penalized 3.9 times per game in total this season, and 2.5 per game over their past ten match ups. The team’s had to kill penalties just 5.5 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Semyon Varlamov (2.68 goals against average and .920 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Colorado. Varlamov is averaging 28.8 saves per game and owns a 26-25-6 record.

Leading the offensive attack for the visiting Avalanche will be Nathan MacKinnon, who’s got 39 goals and 58 assists on the year.

Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators Betting Picks

Prediction: SU Winner – Predators, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • Power-play opportunities could prove to be critical in this matchup. The Avalanche are 20-16 in games where they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 28-28 when they serve fewer than 10 penalty minutes, in total. The Predators are 19-6 when the team serves fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 25-15 in games where total penalty minutes are in the single digits.
  • Two of Nashville’s last ten games have been decided by a shootout. The team is 1-1 in those games and 6-7 overall in shootouts this year.
  • Nashville might hold the upper hand if it’s a close one late. The team’s 24-15 in games decided by one goal, while Colorado is 11-15 in such games.
  • The total has gone over in three of Nashville’s last five games.
  • Nashville has averaged 14.0 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 9.7 giveaways per game (ranked 17th).
  • Colorado skaters have averaged 8.2 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 6.2 giveaways per game (the second-fewest in the league).