Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars Betting Preview 3/21/19

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In their fourth and final head-to-head meeting of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars collide at the American Airlines Center. This Central Division matchup will get going at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 21, and it will be shown live on Fox Sports Southwest Plus.

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Odds

Colorado (+120) is entering this one as the underdog to Dallas (-140), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total sit at -130 for the under and +110 for the over.

Losing 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers, the Stars are 38-35 straight up (SU) overall thus far. That winning percentage, ranked 3rd in the Central Division in this young season, is right in line with the 42-40 record the team managed during last year’s regular season campaign. Among the team’s 73 games this season, 21 have gone under the total, while 21 have gone over and just nine have pushed. Thus far, the team is 22-15 SU at home.

Dallas has converted on 19.1 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated sixth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 82.5 percent of all penalties.

Dallas, as a collective unit, has been penalized 3.5 times per game overall this season, and 2.4 per game over its last five games home outings. The team has been forced to stave off opposition power plays for just 5.6 minutes per game over its last 10 matchups, in total.

With a .932 save percentage and 27.2 saves per game, Ben Bishop (25-17-2) has been the top goalkeeper for the Stars this year. If the Stars choose to give him a rest, however, the team may go with Anton Khudobin (15-20-20 record, .925 save percentage, 2.51 goals against average).

The Stars will continue relying on leadership out of Tyler Seguin and Alexander Radulov. Seguin (69 points) has tallied 27 goals and 42 assists and has recorded multiple points in 17 different games this year. Radulov has 24 goals and 36 assists to his credit and has recorded at least one point in 37 contests.

On the visitors’ side of the ice, Colorado is 32-41 straight up (SU) and has lost 16.9 units for moneyline bettors this year. A total of 37 of its outings have gone over the total, while 35 have gone under the total and just one has pushed. Colorado’s 16-21 SU as the road team this season.

Colorado has scored on 22.0 percent of its power play chances this season, a mark that’s good enough for eighth-best in the league. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 28th overall and it’s successfully killed off 77.5 percent of all penalties.

Colorado’s skaters have been penalized 4.1 times per game this season, and 3.4 per game over their last ten games. The team’s been forced to kill penalties just 8.2 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Semyon Varlamov (2.86 goals against average and .910 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Colorado. Varlamov is averaging 27.8 saves per game and owns a 19-28-9 record.

Leading the offensive counter for the visiting Avalanche will be Nathan MacKinnon (37 goals, 54 assists) and Mikko Rantanen (31 goals, 56 assists).

Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars Free Picks

Pick: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Under

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Colorado’s last five games.
  • Colorado has managed 28.2 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Dallas is averaging 36.6 shots per game over its last five home outings.
  • The Avalanche are 11-18 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 18-24 in games where they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes.
  • Dallas is ranked 22nd in the NHL with 7.0 takeaways per game. That figure has trended higher, as the team has managed 8.0 takeaways over its last 10 games and 8.2 takeaways over its last five.
  • Colorado has created 6.3 takeaways per game (ranked 28th overall).