College Football Free Preview: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Louisville Cardinals

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The Cardinals (-2) are set to welcome their ACC nemesis Wake Forest Demon Deacons to Louisville. This daytime game gets underway at 12:00 p.m. ET and CHSS is scheduled to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Louisville Cardinals vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons


Wake Forest is a live dog and is currently getting 2 points in this Saturday ACC game. The Demon Deacons are also receiving +100 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are -120. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 64 points, and if one squad can find paydirt early, it would likely lead to a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.

The Demon Deacons are 1-6 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-2.

The Cardinals have lost 4.0 units this season. The team is 1-6 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-3.

The Demon Deacons are 3-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Cardinals are 2-5 SU overall and 0-4 SU in conference play.

The Demon Deacons are most-recently on the rebound after a 38-17 loss to Florida State last week where the Demon Deacons completed 25-of-54 passes for 273 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Sam Hartman went 22-for-46 for 227 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Jamie Newman completed three-of-eight for 46 yards. Matt Colburn II (just 71 yards on 21 rush attempts) and Cade Carney (43 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the ground attack while Scotty Washington (four receptions, 44 yards) and Colburn II (four catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back on October 13, Boston College took care of this Louisville crew by a score of 38-20. The Cards defense let the Eagles rush for 251 yards on 61 attempts, including three rush TDs. David Bailey had a solid outing, recording 112 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts for Boston College. For Louisville, Jawon Pass completed 17-of-31 passes for 170 yards and one interception. Hassan Hall (39 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Pass (five yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running game while Dez Fitzpatrick (four receptions, 50 yards) and Devante Peete (four catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Wake Forest has run the ball on 58.5 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 56.1 percent across possessions in conference play. Louisville has an overall rush percentage of 48.9 percent, and has kept it on the ground 44.5 percent of the time against ACC opponents. The Demon Deacons have rushed for 213.3 yards/game (including 189.7 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have nine scores on the ground this year. The Cards are totaling 108.6 rush yards per game (85.3 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.

The Deacs offense has averaged 223.3 yards through the air overall (187.0 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Cards have produced 214.0 pass yards per contest (249 against ACC foes) and have eight total pass TDs.

Defensively, Wake Forest has let opponents rush for an average of 221.6 yards and pass for 276.9 yards per game. The Louisville defense has allowed 182.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 233.9 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Deacs have given up an ANY/A of 8.00 to opposing QBs, while the Cards are allowing an ANY/A of 8.34.

Pass has completed 79-of-151 passes for 930 yards, four TDs and eight INTs for Louisville. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at a minuscule 3.23 for the season and 5.88 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Hartman is up to 1,412 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 117-of-210 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Hartman has a 5.80 ANY/A for the year, although that number is 2.58 over the past two games.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Wake Forest emerged victorious by a final score of 42-32.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAA Pick


SU Winner: Louisville, ATS Winner: Louisville, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes,

  • The Wake Forest defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 12 times this year. Louisville has recorded seven sacks.
  • Louisville has lost five fumbles in 2018 while the Wake Forest offense has lost three.
  • The Demon Deacons offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Cardinals have put up four such plays.
  • The Wake Forest defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Louisville has given up five such plays.
  • The Wake Forest offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisville has created four such runs.
  • The Demon Deacons defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cardinals have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Louisville’s last match was set at 56.5. The over cashed in the 38-20 loss to Boston College.
  • In its last three contests, Louisville is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Over its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Wake Forest has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 32-point victory over Rice on September 29th accounting for the only win over that span.
  • The O/U for Wake Forest’s previous game going into it was 59. The under cashed in the team’s 38-17 loss to Florida State.
  • Wake Forest, as a team, has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.7 over its last two.
  • Louisville has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.9 over its past two.