College Football Free Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Florida State Seminoles (+13) are set to pay a visit to their ACC counterpart No. 17 Miami (Fl) Hurricanes (-13) at Hard Rock Stadium. The vital afternoon matchup kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes

In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Miami (FL) is tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 13 points. The Seminoles are also receiving +360 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -525. It appears that there should be some good in-game betting opportunities for this contest, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points.

This game’s opening line was -12. The total hasn’t moved since it opened at 51.

The underwhelming Seminoles are down 3.0 units so far and 1-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-2.

The Hurricanes have gained 0.5 units this season. The team is 3-2 ATS and four of its games have gone over the total.

The Seminoles have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Hurricanes are 4-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Noles got their second W in as many tries after a 28-24 victory over Louisville last week. Deondre Francois completed 16 passes for 294 yards and four touchdowns. Cam Akers (42 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground attack. Nyqwan Murray (six receptions, 114 yards, two TDs) and Tamorrion Terry (three catches, 71 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Miami (FL) is coming off of a 47-10 win over North Carolina. The defense allowed the Tar Heels to rush for 215 yards on 40 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Michael Carter had a productive outing in the loss, recording 75 rushing yards on seven attempts for North Carolina. For Miami (FL), N’Kosi Perry completed eight-of-12 passes for 125 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Travis Homer (88 rushing yards on 14 attempts) and DeeJay Dallas (114 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Darrell Langham (three receptions, 33 yards, one TD) and Mike Harley (two catches, 70 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Florida State has run the ball on 49.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (FL) has an overall rush percentage of 61.4 percent. The Seminoles have run for 97.4 yards/game (including 77.3 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have four scores on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are logging 213.4 rush yards per game and have 14 total rushing TDs.

The Noles offense has averaged 275.4 yards through the air overall (235.0 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing scores so far. The Hurricanes have produced 216.8 pass yards per game and have 12 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Florida State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 101.0 yards and throw for 284.4 yards per game. The Miami (FL) defense has allowed 138.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.80 to opponents, while the Seminoles have allowed a 5.65 ANY/A.

Perry has connected on 17-of-26 passes for 218 yards, four TDs and two INTs for Miami (FL). His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.69 for the year and 7.71 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Francois has put up 1,025 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 87-of-144 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Francois has a 5.95 ANY/A for the year, though that number sits at 11.73 over the past two games.

When these two programs met a year ago, Miami (FL) earned the win 24-20.

Florida State Seminoles at Miami (FL) Hurricanes NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Miami (FL), ATS Winner: Miami (FL), O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • Each team defense has tallied 14 sacks this year.
  • The Miami (FL) offense has lost three fumbles in 2018 while the Florida State offense has lost seven.
  • The Seminoles offense has registered three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have put up five such plays.
  • The Florida State defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while Miami (FL) has given up two such plays.
  • The Florida State offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Miami (FL) has created eight such runs.
  • The Seminoles defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Hurricanes have given up seven such runs.
  • Miami (FL) was favored by 18 points in its last outing and the O/U was set at 55.5. The over cashed and Miami (FL) covered in the 47-10 victory over North Carolina.
  • Over its last three matchups, Miami (FL) is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three games, Florida State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Florida State was the underdog by 5 points in its last game and the O/U was 47.5. The over cashed and Florida State covered in the 28-24 victory over Louisville.
  • As a team, Florida State has averaged 2.33333333333333 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 2.2 over its last two.
  • Miami (FL) has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.7 over its last two.