College Football Free Betting Prediction – Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Navy Midshipmen (-3.5) and Air Force Falcons will square off on the turf at Falcon Stadium. This afternoon game will get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS Sports Network.

Betting Preview: Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons

Air Force is the underdog in this matchup and is currently getting 3.5 points. The Midshipmen are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Falcons are +155. If one side can catch a lucky break early it will create a decent betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 49.5 points.

This game’s line opened at 3, while the over/under has not moved after being initially set at 49.5.

The hapless Midshipmen are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 6.6 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 2-1.

The Falcons have lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Midshipmen are 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Falcons are 1-3 SU.

These two teams met a year ago with the final outcome being a 48-45 win for Navy.

The Midshipmen fell to SMU 31-30 in a matchup where their defense allowed the Mustangs to run for 158 yards on 37 rush attempts. Braeden West had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 145 rushing yards on 26 attempts, along with 40 yards on six catches. Offensively, the Midshipmen completed 1-of-4 passes for 25 yards and one touchdown. Garret Lewis went one-for-3 for 25 yards and one touchdown while Malcolm Perry completed zero-of-one for zero yards. Lewis (63 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Malcolm Perry (33 yards on 14 carries). Mychal Cooper (one receptions, 25 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back on September 29, Nevada knocked off this Air Force crew by a score of 28-25. The Falcons defense allowed the Wolf Pack to run for 177 yards on 34 rush attempts. Toa Taua put up a good outing in the win, recording 76 rushing yards on 13 attempts for Nevada. For Air Force, Donald Hammond III completed six-of-15 passes for 71 yards and one touchdown. Kadin Remsberg (71 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Arion Worthman (-4 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the running game as Marcus Bennett (four receptions, 52 yards, one TD) and Ronald Cleveland (one catch, -4 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Navy has run the ball on 87.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Air Force has an overall rush percentage of 81.6 percent. The Midshipmen have produced 355.8 rush yards/game and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Falcons are logging 254.8 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

The Midshipmen offensive scheme has averaged 76.8 yards in the air overall and has two passing TDs so far. The Falcons have recorded 109.3 pass yards per game and also have two total pass scores.

Defensively, Navy appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 159.8 yards and pass for 230.3 yards per game. The Air Force D has allowed 282.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 98.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Midshipmen are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.16 to opponents, while the Falcons have allowed a whopping 8.92 ANY/A.

Sanders has completed 17-of-30 passes for 289 yards, one TD and one INT. Sanders’ adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.61 for the year and 6.11 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Lewis has put up 104 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 7-of-14 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Lewis has a sparkling 8.20 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 13.78 over the last two games.

Navy Midshipmen at Air Force Falcons Betting Pick

SU Winner: Navy, ATS Winner: Navy, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Navy D has six sacks on the year while Air Force has four.
  • Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.
  • Both offenses have recorded two pass plays of 30+ yards.
  • The Navy defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Air Force has given up five such plays.
  • The Navy offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Air Force has created two such runs.
  • The Midshipmen defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Falcons have given up five such runs.
  • Air Force was favored by 4 points in its last matchup and the O/U going into it was 62.5. The under cashed and Air Force failed to cover in the 28-25 defeat to Nevada.
  • Over its last three matchups, Air Force is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Navy was the underdog by 7 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was 58. The over cashed and Navy covered in the 31-30 loss to SMU.
  • Navy, as a team, has produced 5.15023474178404 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its last two.
  • Air Force has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.5 over its last two.