College Football Free Betting Pick: Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers

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The Ole Miss Rebels and No. 5 LSU Tigers are ready to square off on the grass at Tiger Stadium. The game is scheduled to get going at 9:15 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action live on ESPN.

Betting Preview: Ole Miss Rebels vs. LSU Tigers

Ole Miss is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 14 points. If they want to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put down $600 in order to win $100 back on the Tigers (-600). The Rebels are getting +425 moneyline odds. There will probably be some good live betting opportunities while this matchup’s taking place.

The Rebels are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-2.

The Tigers have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 5.3 units. They’re 2-2 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Rebels have gone 3-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 4-0 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Rebels are trying to keep things going after a solid 38-17 win over Kent State last week. Jordan Ta’amu completed 28-of-38 passes for 442 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Scottie Phillips (112 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running attack. A.J. Brown (seven receptions, 96 yards) and DaMarkus Lodge (six catches, 81 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

LSU just earned a 38-21 win over Louisiana Tech. Joe Burrow completed 16-of-28 passes for 191 yards. Nick Brossette (78 rushing yards on 23 attempts, three TDs) and Clyde Edwards-Helaire (136 yards on 20 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game while Dee Anderson (five receptions, 80 yards) and Foster Moreau (four catches, 33 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Ole Miss has run the ball on 51.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while LSU has a rush percentage of 60.8 percent. The Rebels have produced 175.3 rush yards per game and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Tigers are totaling 169.8 rushing yards per game and have 10 total rush TDs.

The Rebels offense has logged a superb 347.5 yards/contest through the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Tigers have put up 182.8 pass yards per contest and have three total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Ole Miss has allowed 190.8 rush yards and 314.5 pass yards per game. The LSU defense has given up 244.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 91.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.47 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 6.65 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ta’amu has already amassed 1,226 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 71 percent of his 103 attempts with nine scores through the air and only one interception. He has a 12.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.23 over the past two outings.

Scottie Phillips, D.K. Metcalf and A.J. Brown have combined for 524 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns as a trio over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Joe Burrow has completed 37-of-72 passes for 482 yards, two TDs and zero INTs. Burrow’s ANY/A stands at 6.45 for the year and 6.82 over his past two outings.

We’re expecting the Tigers to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Dee Anderson (100 receiving yards this season) has contributed lately, but Clyde Edwards-Helaire (187 rush yards, three rush TDs) and Nick Brossette (340 rush yards, five rush TDs) have really been focal points in the Tigers’ recent offensive strategies.

When these two programs met last year, LSU emerged victorious by a score of 40-24.

Ole Miss Rebels at LSU Tigers Free Prediction

SU Winner: LSU, ATS Winner: LSU

Team Betting Trends

  • Ole Miss was favored by 29 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 76.5. The under cashed and Ole Miss failed to cover in the 38-17 win over Kent State.
  • Ole Miss has averaged 4.63207547169811 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.4 over its last two.
  • LSU has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its past two.
  • The LSU offense has lost one fumble this season while Ole Miss has lost two.
  • In its last three matchups, Ole Miss is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • LSU was favored by 19 points in its last matchup and the O/U was 51. The over cashed and LSU did not cover in the team’s 38-21 triumph over Louisiana Tech.
  • In its last three matches, LSU is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Rebels offense has produced 12 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Tigers have put up two such plays.
  • The Ole Miss defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while LSU has given up two such plays.
  • The Ole Miss offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while LSU has created three such run.
  • The Rebels defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Tigers have given up one such run.
  • The LSU defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 12 times this season. Ole Miss has produced nine sacks.