College Football Free ATS Betting Preview – Tulane Green Wave vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

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The Tulane Green Wave (+7) are heading northeast to battle the Cincinnati Bearcats at Nippert Stadium. This AAC showdown starts at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPNU. These squads met last year with the final outcome being a 17-16 victory for Cincinnati.

Betting Preview: Tulane Green Wave at Cincinnati Bearcats

In this Saturday American Athletic Conference game, Cincinnati has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 7 points. If they want to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put down $300 in order to win $100 back on the Bearcats (-300). The Green Wave are getting +220 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points, and if one team can get out in front early, it’ll likely create a nice in-game betting opportunity.

The game’s total has shifted up after opening at 51. The original line (-7) has stayed consistent.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Green Wave have gained 3.3 units while the Bearcats are up 8.0 units.

The Green Wave are 2-3 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against AAC opponents. The Bearcats are 5-0 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.

The Green Wave are on the upswing after a 40-24 victory over Memphis last week. Jonathan Banks completed 12-of-21 passes for just 127 yards. Darius Bradwell (143 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) and Corey Dauphine (87 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) provided the ground attack while Darnell Mooney (four receptions, 94 yards, one TD) and Terren Encalade (four catches, 35 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Cincinnati just earned a 49-7 win over Connecticut. The defense did its part in the victory, limiting the Huskies to just 181 passing yards and 85 rushing yards. Aaron McLean had a productive showing in the loss for Connecticut, accounting for 97 yards and a score on four catches. For Cincinnati, Desmond Ridder completed 20-of-26 passes for 270 yards and two touchdowns. Michael Warren II (106 rushing yards on 13 attempts, two TDs) and Tavion Thomas (56 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Josiah Deguara (five receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and Thomas Geddis (five catches, 45 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tulane has run the ball on 65.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Cincinnati has an overall rush percentage of 66.5. The Green Wave have run for 203.2 yards/game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Bearcats are logging 252.2 rushing yards per game and have 19 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Bearcats should hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, since their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.9 to opponents. The Green Wave have ran for 4.6 yards per carry while allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents.

The Green Wave offensive scheme has averaged 197.0 yards in the air overall and has six passing TDs so far. The Bearcats have put up 220.0 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass scores.

Tulane has let opponents run for an average of 156.2 yards and throw for 292.4 yards per game. The Cincinnati D has given up 158.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.0 yards per game on the ground. The Bearcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.46 to opposing QBs, while the Green Wave have allowed a 7.06 ANY/A.

Ridder has been more sharp than Banks of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 9.30 for the season and 10.00 across his past two outings while Banks’ ANY/A is 6.54 and 5.95 over the past two games.

Tulane Green Wave vs. Cincinnati Bearcats NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Cincinnati, ATS Winner: Cincinnati, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • Tulane was getting 15 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 66. The under cashed and Tulane covered in the 40-24 win over Memphis.
  • Tulane has produced 4.29710144927536 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Cincinnati has averaged 6.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its last two.
  • Cincinnati has lost two fumbles this season while Tulane has lost four.
  • Over its last three matchups, Tulane is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
  • Cincinnati was getting 16 points in its last matchup and the Over/Under was set at 62.5. The under cashed and Cincinnati covered in the 49-7 win over Connecticut.
  • The Green Wave offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bearcats have put up three such plays.
  • The Tulane defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Cincinnati has given up two such plays.
  • The Tulane offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Cincinnati has created 12 such runs.
  • The Green Wave defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Bearcats have given up five such runs.
  • The Tulane D has 13 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has nine.